Bitcoin price chart from 2010–2017 with a highlighted cycle box and halving markers illustrating the 2012–2013 rally

Was the 4-Year Crypto Cycle a Lie? — Why the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Is the Real Signal

The idea that Bitcoin follows a sacred four-year rhythm has become investment folklore. But the pattern that traders lean on most—the halving-driven four-year cycle—was never the true engine behind the monster rallies. The real pulse to watch is macro liquidity, and the best single indicator of that pulse is the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI). The…

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